Binary Options Bands Indicator

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The Most Important Technical Indicators For Binary Options

Consider the following bets:

  • Pay $45 to bet that the price of gold will be above $1,250 at 1:30 p.m. today. Get $100 ($55 profit) if you win, lose $45 otherwise.
  • Receive $81 now to bet that NASDAQ US Tech 100 index will go below $2,224 at 2 p.m. today. Keep a profit of $81 if your prediction comes true. If it does not, lose $19.
  • Pay $77 to win $100 if the USD-JPY forex rate goes above 78.06 at 2 p.m. today; you lose $77 if it does not.
  • Gain $33 if you bet on the price of bitcoin will go below $379.5 at 3:00 p.m. today. If it doesn’t drop that much, lose $67.

Welcome to binary options. All or nothing, one or zero, these securities are available on Nadex and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Binary options allow traders to make time-bound conditional bets on predefined values of stock indices, forex, commodities, events, and even bitcoin values. Like a standard exchange-traded option, each binary option has an option premium ($45, $81, $77, and $33 in the examples above), a pre-determined strike price ($1,250, $2,244, 78.06, $379.5), and an expiry (1:30 p.m., 2 p.m., 3 p.m. today).

The differentiator is the settlement price that remains fixed at $0 or $100, depending on the option condition being fulfilled. It keeps the net profit (or loss) fixed. The option premium also remains between $0 and $100. (Related: Guide to trading binary options)

Calculating Probability

Since binary options are time-bound and condition-based, probability calculations play an important part in valuing these options. It all boils down to “What is the probability that the current gold price of $1,220 will move to $1,250 or above in the next four hours?“ The determining factors include:

  • Volatility (how much and is it sufficient to cross the threshold/strike price?),
  • The direction of the price move, and
  • Timing.

Technical indicators suitable for binary options trading should incorporate the above factors. One can take a binary option position based on spotting continued momentum or trend reversal patterns. Let’s look at some of the popular binary option technical indicators:

  • Wilder’s Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) Average Directional Index (ADX): Composed of three lines, namely ADX, DI+, and DI-, and their relative positions, this indicator aims to capture the strength of an already identified trend. Here is the table for interpreting the trends:

Position

Momentum

ADX Value > 25

ADX Value

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Here is an illustration, using 3M Company (MMM) stock:

Image courtesy StockCharts.com

Depending upon the identified momentum and trend strength, an appropriate buy/sell position could be taken.

  • Pivot Point(in conjunction with support and resistance levels): Pivot point analysis helps determine trends and directions for any given timeframe. Because of the flexibility in timing, pivot points can be used for binary options, particularly for trading highly liquid major currencies. A good example (with calculation and graphs) is included in the article Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading.
  • Commodity Channel Index (CCI): The CCI calculates the current price level of a security relative to the average price during any given timeframe. The average price level is usually the moving average. Time periods can be selected as desired, allowing the trader flexibility in choosing when a binary option expires. The CCI is useful in identifying new trends and extreme conditions of overbought/oversold securities. It is very popular among day traders for short-term trading and may be used with additional indicators such as oscillators. In the below formula “price” is the asset’s current price, “MA” is the moving average of the asset’s price, and “D” is the normal deviation from that average. High values above +100 indicate the start of a strong uptrend. Values below -100 indicate the start of a strong downtrend. The CCI is computed with the formula:
  • Stochastic Oscillator: In an interview, the creator of the Stochastic Oscillator, Dr. George Lane, said “it follows the speed or the momentum of price. As a rule, the momentum changes direction before price.” This important underlying detail indicates extreme cases of overbuying and overselling, allowing reversals for bullish and bearish phases to be identified. The crossover of %K and %D values indicate trade entry signals. Although a 14-day period is standard, binary option traders can use their own desired timeframes.

%K = 1 0 0 ( C − L14 H14 − L14 ) where: C = most recent closing price L14 = low of 14 previous trading sessions H14 = highest price traded during same 14-day period \begin &\text <\%K>= 100 \left ( \frac < \text– \text > < \text– \text > \right ) \\ &\textbf \\ &\text = \text \\ &\text = \text \\ &\text = \text \\ \end ​ %K = 1 0 0 ( H14 − L14 C − L14 ​ ) where: C = most recent closing price L14 = low of 14 previous trading sessions H14 = highest price traded during same 14-day period ​

Levels above 80 indicate overbought, while those below 20 indicate oversold.

  • Bollinger Bands: Bollinger bands capture an important aspect of volatility. They identify upper and lower levels as dynamically generated bands based on recent price moves of a security.

Commonly followed values are 12 for simple moving average and two for a standard deviation for top and bottom bands.

Contraction and expansion of the bands indicate reversal signals that help traders take appropriate positions in binary options. Overbought situations are indicated if the current market price (CMP) is above the top band. While overselling is indicated when the CMP is lower than the lower band.

A challenge in binary option trading is correctly predicting the sustainability of a trend over a given period. For example, a trader may take the right position for an index, predicting it would hit 1250 at the end of a five-hour period, but the level was achieved in the first two hours. Constant monitoring is needed for the rest of the three hours if the trader plans to hold the position until expiry, or a predetermined strategy should be executed (like squaring off the position) once the level is reached.

The Bottom Line:

The technical indicators discussed above should be used for timely actions with constant monitoring. One major disadvantage with technical indicators is that the results and calculations are based on past data and can generate false signals. Traders should practice caution with detailed backtesting and thorough analysis for high-risk, high-return assets like binary options.

60-second Binary Options Trading Strategy using Bollinger Bands

This strategy may suit the preferences of impatient binary option traders, as it may be applied on any trading instrument (currency pair, commodity, stock index, etc) during any trading session. In addition, it utilizes one of the most preferred technical indicators, the Bollinger Bands. For a detailed overview of this indicator, you can read the article in our Forex Academy.

The time frame is set to 1-minute, while the Bollinger Bands should be set to default (the middle band is a 20-day Exponential Moving Average, while the upper and lower bands represent two standard deviations from that average). The expiry time is 5 minutes.

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Buying a Call Option

In order to buy a call option, a trader needs to spot oversold conditions. In case the price of the trading instrument has broken below the lower band, a trader may anticipate a touch and a return within the two bands. Once this occurs and the trader has a confirmation of the move to the upside, he/she may place a buy order. The trader may use candlestick reversal patterns as confirmation.

Buying a Put Option

In order to buy a put option, a trader needs to spot overbought conditions. In case the price of the trading instrument has broken above the upper band, a trader may anticipate a touch and a return within the two bands. Once this occurs and the trader has a confirmation of the move to the downside, he/she may place a buy order. Again, candlestick reversal formations could be appropriate confirmation tools.

Some traders may prefer to use the Average Directional Index (ADX) in order to delimit the area of trading. Therefore, they will look for the ADX to be at or to fall below its 20.0 level.

On the 60-second chart of NZD/USD above the small triangles indicate spots where call and put options (3 puts, 1 call) can be bought respectively, while taking into account the conditions mentioned.

Best Indicator For Five Minute Binary Option Strategy

I don’t typically recommend trading the 60 second binary options because they are so risky. The chance of an asset moving in your direction, or even moving enough in your direction, within the next 60 seconds is so slim as to be near impossible to judge. This is not to say that it can not be done because it can. This is evidenced by the large number of algorithmic traders and options scalpers that exist today. If it were impossible to make money on such a short time frame these traders would not exist. I personally prefer to use at least a five minute chart but this strategy can be used on any time frame from 60 seconds to one week with relative success. What am I talking about….Bollinger Bands ™ .

Bollinger Bands are all about volatility. Volatility is the movement of the market. Trading is about catching market movements in order to profit. It only makes sense that an indicator that measures volatility would be a good tool for traders. There are lots of such tools, and many ways in which to utilize them but Bollinger Bands are by far the best methods for day traders.

Think about it. Short term binaries are all about catching short term movements. The thing is, when you enter a binary options contract you are not necessarily getting in at precisely the spot price at time of purchase. This is because all the brokers include a small amount of slippage into each strike in order to help them maintain acceptable losses. This is not a scam, just the cost of trading and something explained in every brokers terms and conditions I have ever read. They call it “the price at which we are willing to sell options”. It usually isn’t very much but it does mean that the asset you are trading will have to move at least a pip or more to even be at the money. This is why trading 60 second options and other super short expiries is so hard. Not only do you have to be right, you have to be right at exactly the proper time AND the trade has to move up enough to match and exceed the strike price at which the broker has set the option.

Bollinger Bands For Binary Options

Bollinger Bands are excellent for trading short term binary options because they pinpoint times of low market volatility(movement) and then signals when the market start to moves. Once the market is moving the bands also provide numerous follow up signals that savvy day traders can take advantage of. This is how it works. The bands are based on a standard deviation of prices and will get narrower and wider as volatility decreases and increases. When the market is very calm and quiet the bands get narrow, when the market is volatile and moving a lot the bands get wide. The patterns of widening and narrowing are one kind of signal while price action in relation to the bands themselves provide another. There are three lines in the equation. The first is a moving average usually set to 20 periods. This provides a fairly quick indicator but don’t worry, you can adjust the MA if you think you need to. The next two lines are a standard deviation of the moving average value, +2.0 standard deviations and -2.0 standard deviations.

Bollinger Bands Are Best for short term binary options trading

Look at the chart above. It is a chart of the USD/CHF set to 5 minute candles and a standard Bollinger Band ™. Notice how the bands become narrow and then widen over time. When the bands narrow it is because prices tend to trend sideways. When the market trends sideways it is very hard to profit from binary options. When the market moves up or down from one of these sideways patterns the bands get wider, indicating that movement. That is the very first signal you look for, a narrowing followed by a widening. When the bands begin to widen you know it almost time to make a trade. The next step is to wait and see which band price touches when the widening starts. This is usually an indication of direction and what kind of trading you will be doing. If prices touch the upper band the market will usually rally. When price action touches the lower band the market will typically sell off.

Here are links to more articles on trading binary options with Bollinger Bands ™

Bollinger Bands Explained – Formula And Indicator Tutorial

Bollinger Bands and binary options form a great combination that makes trading the financial markets simple, quick, and effective. Bollinger Bands provide a deep yet simple-to-understand look into the market’s soul; binary options are the ideal tool to trade the predictions that this look creates.

In this article, you will learn:

  • What Are Bollinger Bands?
  • Why Do Bollinger Bands Work?
  • Why Should Traders Use Bollinger Bands?

With this knowledge, you will immediately be able to trade binary options based on Bollinger Bands.

What Are Bollinger Bands?

Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator. They predict future market movements solely based on past market data, which they aggregate and calculate. The result is drawn directly into your price chart.

The indicator creates three lines, which are commonly referred to as “bands“:

  1. A middle line. This is the main line. It is a moving average, commonly based on 20 periods.
  2. An upper line. This line is the result of the moving average plus the standard deviation multiplied by a factor, commonly two.
  3. A lower line. This line is the result of the moving average minus the standard deviation multiplied by a factor, commonly two.

These three lines predict the range in which the market is likely to move.

  • The upper line is the upper end of the predicted range. It works as a strong resistance.
  • The lower line is the lower end of the predicted range. It works as a strong support.
  • The middle line is an additional barrier. It works as a resistance when the market is trading above it, and as a support when the market is trading below it.

In real-life trading, Bollinger lines predict three things:

  1. The market will remain inside the two outer lines.
  2. When the market approaches the middle line, it will slow down, but can eventually break through it. It can also turn around.
  3. When the market is moving between two lines, it will continue its movement until it reaches the next line.

All of these predictions are tradable, and binary options make trading them easier and more profitable than most other assets.

Why Do Bollinger Bands Work?

To understand the idea behind Bollinger bands, consider these examples:

  • If an apple was priced at £1 for a while and suddenly became more expensive, for example £1.20, fewer people would buy it. This drop in demand would bring the price back to £1.
  • If an apple was priced at £1 for a while and suddenly became cheap, many people would start buying apples instead of other fruit. This surge in demand would bring the price back to £1.

Now, these examples do not say that the price of an apple will never change. It can change – slowly and over time. Rapid price changes, however, are short-term fluctuations. Unless there is a catastrophic event, market psychology requires price changes to take some time.

Bollinger Bands reflect this assumption. The moving average that creates the middle line is the long term price change. The upper and the lower lines create the price channel in which the price can fluctuate.

  • When the market approaches the upper band, you know that traders will soon think, “This asset is getting too expensive.” Demand will drop, and prices will fall back closer to the middle line.
  • When the market approaches the lower band, you know that traders will soon think, “This asset is really I should buy it.” Demand will surge, and prices will climb back closer to the middle line.

In short, this technical indicator helps you to understand market psychology without having to talk to every trader out there. This understanding helps you to make better investments with a quick, simple look at your price chart.

Why Should Traders Use These Bands?

Bollinger Bands can be a great help for binary options traders. They can do three things for them:

  1. Find new trading opportunities. When the market approaches a Bollinger band, you know that the market is likely to turn around. This knowledge alone is enough to win a binary option.
  2. Make more money with your strategy. Bollinger bands provide a clear indication for how far the market can move. Binary options types with high payouts such as ladder options or one touch options require this prediction, which is Bollinger Bands can turn an ordinary strategy into a highly profitable one.
  3. Help you avoid bad trades. Bollinger bands form important resistance and support levels. Even if you decide to not directly trade Bollinger Bands, you should at least be aware of these levels. Otherwise, you might be surprised when the market does something unexpected, and you lose a trade you believed to be a sure winner.

In addition to these three reasons, there is another aspect that makes Bollinger Bands so attractive – they are simple. All you have to do to interpret Bollinger Bands is take a quick look at your price chart. There is almost no chance to get it wrong, and you can finish the entire analysis in a few seconds. Traders who analyze many charts simultaneously love Bollinger Bands because they provide such clear predictions in such a simple way.

Video

Conclusion

Bollinger Bands are a great tool for binary options traders. At a glance, they provide a deep look into the thought process of all traders and the psychological processes that drive the market. This knowledge can help you find new trading opportunities, make better trades, and avoid bad trades. Any trader can profit from adding Bollinger Bands to their chart, even if they are only using them indirectly to better understand the market.

Traders can also base their entire trading strategies on Bollinger Bands. Our strategy pages include 3 Bollinger Band strategies

If you like binary options, Bollinger Bands will help you to trade better. If you like Bollinger Bands, binary options provide you with a great tool to trade their predictions.

How to Use Bollinger Bands to Trade Stock & Binary Options

The bollinger bands are adaptive trading bands that indicates changes in volatility and provide a better view of the true extent of the price action.

Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, the Bollinger Bands indicator works on the mathematical theory that statistically, 95% of the time, prices will stay within the standard deviation from the mean.

Constructing the Bollinger Bands

There are 3 components to the bollinger bands indicator. There is the upper band, the lower band and the middle band.

First, a 20 period simple moving average of the asset price is computed. This value is represented by the middle band.

The upper and lower bands are then calculated by using two standard deviations from the middle band.

Overbought & Oversold Levels

When the underlying asset price touches or breaches the upper bollinger band, the asset is said to be overbought. When this happens, the trader can potentially look into going long or buying a call option.

When the asset price touches or breaches the lower bollinger band, the asset is said to be oversold. When this occurs, the trader can take it as a signal to short sell the underlying or buy a put option.

Support & Resistance Levels

The upper and lower bands can also act as resistance and support levels respectively.

Traders generally avoid going long or buying calls when the asset price hits the upper bollinger band.

Similarly, traders often avoid going short or buying puts whenever the asset price hits the lower bollinger band.

Volatility Indicator

The Bollinger Bands are also a great tool to use for determining whether the market volatility is currently high or low.

When market volatility is high, the bands expand. When market volatility is low, the bands contract.

Continue Reading.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator Explained

The RSI or Relative Strength Index indicator is bounded momentum based technical indicator that attempts to predict a change in momentum. . [Read on. ]

MACD Indicator Explained

MACD (usually pronounced Mac-Dee) stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. The MACD indicator gives the short to medium term trend of the price action. [Read on. ]

Bollinger Bands Explained

The bollinger bands are adaptive trading bands that reflect changes in volatility and provide a better view of the true extent of the price action. [Read on. ]

Parabolic SAR Explained

The Parabolic SAR indicator (or PSAR) is designed to calculate the point in time when there emerges a better than average probability of a trend switching directions. [Read on. ]

ADX Indicator Explained

The ADX, or Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend and can be useful to determine whether an asset is currently in a trending market or a ranging market. [Read on. ]

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